Economic Growth Prospects Brighten for Six ASEAN Countries
Six ASEAN countries—Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam—are expected to see their GDP growth rise to 4.5% in 2024 and 4.7% in 2025, driven by manufacturing and exports, particularly electronics. The region is attracting substantial investments in AI and data centers, making it a preferred destination for multinational companies diversifying their supply chains. Despite high-interest rates and a challenging global economic landscape, ASEAN countries are seeing robust economic activities and loan growth.
The GDP growth of six ASEAN nations—Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam—is forecast to ascend to 4.5% in 2024 and 4.7% in 2025 from 4% in 2023, according to Maybank Research Pte Ltd. The 'ASEAN Frontiers: The New Trailblazers' report attributes this growth to a resurgence in manufacturing and exports, notably in the electronics sector.
The boom in artificial intelligence, data centers, and increased global electronics demand are pivotal factors.
Elevated economic activities, despite high interest rates, have led to loan growth across ASEAN.
Visa waivers and enhanced flight capacities are boosting Chinese tourism in countries like Malaysia, Thailand, and Singapore.
Although inflation has decreased due to fewer supply chain disruptions from the Russia-Ukraine crisis, policy rate cuts by ASEAN central banks are constrained due to sustained US interest rates impacting emerging market currencies.
The ASEAN region has become attractive for multinational companies diversifying away from China, with notable FDI approvals in Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, and Indonesia.
Key investments in AI and data centers are flowing into Malaysia from giants like Google and NVIDIA, while Thailand and Indonesia secure major tech investments from Amazon and Alibaba.
Vietnam, though an emerging market, is also attracting commitments from leading firms like Keppel and Gaw Capital.