Asia's Economic Dominance: A Powerhouse of Global Growth
IMF Official Highlights Asia's Role Amidst Global Economic Challenges
According to Krishna Srinivasan, director of the IMF's Asia and Pacific Department, Asia is currently contributing 60% to the global growth and stands as the powerhouse of the global economy.
Srinivasan noted that Asia is significantly dynamic, with a large, skilled labor force, deep integration into global supply chains, and a remarkable increase in productivity growth.
The latest International Monetary Fund (IMF) World Economic Outlook report projects an economic growth of 5.3% for emerging and developing Asia in 2024, compared to the global forecast of 3.2%.
Srinivasan emphasized that Asia's emerging markets are outperforming advanced economies which are facing issues such as interest rate tightening and weak domestic demand.
However, the region faces challenges like geo-economic fragmentation, the impact of artificial intelligence, and climate change.
In 2023, trade-restrictive measures worldwide tripled to 3,000 from the 2019 figures, raising concerns about regional fragmentation.
The ASEAN economies have benefited in certain sectors due to the US-China trade war, but Srinivasan warns that continued restrictions could lead to diminished global economic dynamism.
He urges policymakers to use forums like the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) to reduce trade barriers and maintain multilateralism.
The report forecasts China's economic growth at 4.8% this year, with risks being balanced by recent policy support from Chinese authorities, aligned with IMF's recommendations for more fiscal support to rehabilitate the property sector.