Experts attribute decline to Chinese-tourist drop, earthquake impact and fierce regional competition
Thailand’s tourism sector is experiencing a sharply visible short-term slowdown, with analysts pointing to a confluence of factors including scam-related anxieties, a major earthquake and shifting Chinese traveller preferences.
These developments have dampened what had been a booming recovery after the pandemic.
Data from the first half of 2025 show Thailand attracted around 16.8 million international visitors up to early July, representing a 5 % decline from the same period last year.
Notably, arrivals from East Asia fell by almost 25 %, while the number of travellers from China alone dropped around 34 % compared with pre-pandemic levels in 2019.
Industry experts say the slump is strongly tied to safety perceptions.
A high-profile January abduction of a Chinese actor near the Thai–Myanmar border triggered widespread cancellations among Chinese tour groups.
In March, a 7.7-magnitude earthquake centred in Myanmar sent tremors through Bangkok and triggered hundreds of hotel room cancellations, further denting tourist confidence.
The Thai Hotels Association estimated that early departures surged by 8–10 % in the wake of the quake, while several thousand bookings were cancelled in its immediate aftermath.
While long-haul markets such as Europe and the United States have shown growth, analysts say these gains have yet to offset the loss of high-spending Chinese visitors.
Chinese tourists typically stay longer and spend more per trip than many regional peers, meaning their absence has a disproportionately large effect on tourism receipts.
The implications are significant.
Tourism accounts for about 12 % of Thailand’s gross domestic product and one in five jobs is linked to it.
Officials caution that a prolonged weakness could undermine broader economic momentum and strain smaller tourism-reliant businesses in regional destinations.
Observers emphasise three core areas for action: restoring confidence by addressing scams and safety, creating fresh “must-see” attractions rather than relying solely on temples and beaches, and developing infrastructure and experiences that appeal to younger and repeat visitors instead of mass first-time arrivals.
Building a resilient long-term strategy is seen as crucial if Thailand is to convert its tourism leadership into sustainable growth.
The coming months will test whether Thailand can arrest the decline and re-engage its most valuable source markets while diversifying into new ones.