Thai Times

Covering the Thai Renaissance
Saturday, Mar 22, 2025

Global Central Banks Continue to Boost Gold Reserves Amid Economic Uncertainty

In 2024, global central banks are projected to purchase over 1,000 tons of gold for reserves as gold prices reach new heights.
Gold has maintained its position as a strong investment asset, particularly during times of economic volatility, exemplified by a consistent demand from both retail investors and global central banks.

In 2024, central bank purchases are expected to exceed 1,045 tons, reflecting a notable uptick in gold reserve accumulation amidst geopolitical tensions and fluctuating economic conditions.

On March 14, 2024, gold prices surged from $2,500 to $3,000 per ounce within just 210 days, surpassing the 200-day moving average by threefold.

Despite trading at $2,996.50 per ounce on March 17, market observers noted the significant investor interest this price hike generated.

John Reade, a senior market strategist at the World Gold Council, emphasized that the rise above the $3,000 threshold signals gold's critical role as a safe-haven asset in tumultuous markets.

Historically, gold has demonstrated resilience and profitability, maintaining relevance for nearly five decades.

From a price of approximately $1,000 during the 2008 financial crisis to $2,000 amid the COVID-19 pandemic, gold demonstrates its status as a robust investment class.

The World Gold Council reported that since 2022, gold prices have diverged from movements in U.S. interest rates and the strength of the dollar.

Central bank buying has doubled, driven by an increasing appetite for gold from emerging markets.

This trend shows that central banks have been the largest gold buyers for the past 15 years, particularly in the last three years, with purchases surpassing 1,000 tons annually, culminating in 1,045 tons in 2024. Various geopolitical factors are influencing these purchases, such as a desire to reduce dependence on the U.S. dollar, economic sanctions, and inflation concerns.

Emerging market investors are also becoming more influential in the gold market.

Concerns surrounding U.S. import tax policies and escalating trade tensions have led these investors to view gold as a critical tool for risk diversification.

The trajectory of gold prices is now closely tied to the actions of these emerging markets and ongoing geopolitical developments.

The question remains whether gold can sustain its prices above $3,000.

Market dynamics suggest that increased buying from Western investors, along with sustained demands from central banks, will be necessary to maintain these levels in the face of rising geopolitical risk and market uncertainty.
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